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[双语] 浦东:有领导地位的金融中心

2010-03-24 10:37:28  来源:国际在线综合  编辑:陆熙尧   

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  The statistics do not add up. An official friend working on them admitted that there is no way to put the figures together coherently. In 2005 Beijing substantially revised past growth rates upwards, but the adjustments did not cover dramatic improvements in the quality of products and services. What is more, the growth rates reported by nearly all provinces were higher, sometimes much higher, than Beijing’s calculation of the growth rate as a whole. In 2006 the City of Guangzhou reported a spectacular increase in per capita income, but mainly because they divided total output value by the registered population and ignored the several millions of unregistered floating workers. There is no question that the livelihood of peasants has gone straight up since about 2000, but official statistics show slower per capita growth than the cities. They must have used registered population in these calculations, because nobody knows how many farm-hands have “floated” away. I believe more than one-third of the working population has been floating around the country. Not knowing the pitfalls, outside organizations have severally reported the Gini index of China to be rising dangerously. These reports miss the target by miles.

  统计的数字加不起来。一个从事统计的官方朋友,直言无法前后一贯地把数字组合。二○○五年,北京相当大幅地把过往统计的增长率提高,但这调整可没有算进产品与服务的质量是戏剧性地改进了。不止此也,大部分的省份统计的增长率,高于北京对整国的统计,有些高很多。二○○六年,广州报道该市的人均收入暴升,但主要是因为他们用产出总值除以户籍人口,忘记了数百万没有户籍的流动人口的产出贡献。没有疑问,二○○○年起农民的生活直线上升,但官方的统计却说他们的增长率低于城市的。他们一定是用了户籍人口算,因为没有谁知道多少农民「流动」去了。我认为三分之一以上的劳动人口在国内流动。不知道这个陷阱,外间的机构几番报道,说中国的基尼系数正在危险地上升。这些报道脱离目标要以英里算。

(文字内容由中信出版社独家提供,未经允许,请勿转载)

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